Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJan 1, 2025 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète2 avr. 24, 12:55 UTC2 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsCuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026?
FutuurCommunist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegime change in Cuba by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba
- For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states
- Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both the named outcome and the following years will resolve as NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates ?
- Manifold Markets cote Jan 1, 2025 à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba