Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleby Jan 1, 2025 100%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète14 avr. 24, 22:46 UTC2 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsWill China still be controlled by the CCP in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Will resolve based on the ruling party on the China wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China
- As we go, I'll resolve / add additional dates to keep it interesting.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9 k €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China still be a communist country on the following dates ?
- Manifold Markets cote by Jan 1, 2025 à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China still be a communist country on the following dates sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China still be a communist country on the following dates doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2040.
- Comment Will China still be a communist country on the following dates est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will resolve based on the ruling party on the China wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China