Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
One-OffLatin AmericaPolitiqueGéopolitique3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90%
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète30 janv. 26, 16:37 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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LimitlessRègles
This market predicts whether Cuba’s current one-party communist regime ceases to govern the country before the end of 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, “regime collapse” refers to a loss of effective political control by the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), not merely protests, economic deterioration, or leadership reshuffles within the same power structure.
- ✅ Resolves YES if any of the following occur before December 31, 2026:
- The PCC formally loses its constitutional monopoly on power
- A non-PCC government (interim or permanent) assumes control of the Cuban state
- Miguel Díaz-Canel resigns, flees, or is removed and is not replaced by another PCC hardliner
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market predicts whether Cuba’s current one-party communist regime ceases to govern the country before the end of 2026.