Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 26, 19:52 UTC22 janv. 31, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated?
Manifold MarketsCoca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
KalshiNow Coca-Cola Company buys Restaurant Brands International (RBI) on 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket stop using the UMA protocol by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill any country stop using paper currency by end 2029?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiRègles
Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.
- This can be inferred from reporting or company announcements about how their ad was produced
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 132,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 322,4 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? doit être résolu le 22 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.