Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 56.9%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 14:18 UTC30 sept. 26, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending July 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for July 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Marchés ouverts
China
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- No+0.2pt96%
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+8 résultats de plus
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- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- 356,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
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+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.