Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète1 mars 26, 09:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Cortex podcast return to its traditional format in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CGP Grey have another video in the Reservations series published on his channel by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop podcast on Spotify in 2026?
KalshiUpOnly podcast: Guests this year
KalshiWill the PBD Podcast reach 10 million subscribers this year?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- Following 10 years of Cortex, CGP Grey announced a break from Cortex, with the podcast temporarily switching to an interview format.
- This market resolves YES if CGP Grey appears as a co-host on a new Cortex episode (not an interview-format episode featuring another guest) before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be verified via the official Cortex feed at relay.fm/cortex or major podcast platforms (Apple Podcasts, Spotify).
- The episode must feature Grey in his traditional co-hosting role discussing workflows and productivity with Myke Hurley, not as a guest being interviewed.
- Cortex launched on June 3, 2015, with co-host Myke Hurley of Relay FM.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria