Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
RégulationOne-OffChessSport1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.4%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète25 janv. 23, 17:36 UTC1 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurWill Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
KalshiWill the US create a new regulatory body for AI oversight in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Caroline Pham, currently one of 5 commissioners on the CFTC.
- Background: Caroline was the dissenting opinion with regards to how the CFTC approached reviewing Kalshi's event contracts.
- She also has the most Twitter followers out of the 5 current commissioners, and thus might be more likely to enjoy posting on Manifold.
- Inspired by @RichardHanania's How to Legalize Prediction Markets.
- See also @/SG/will-kalshi-receive-regulatory-appr
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Caroline Pham, currently one of 5 commissioners on the CFTC.