Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
RégulationOne-OffChina1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 57.4%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 17:53 UTC31 mai 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Century Aluminum operates Sebree and Mt. Holly (Kentucky/South Carolina), Grundartangi (Iceland), and has the Hawesville smelter idled. 2024 production was 0.69 Mt and shipments 0.678 Mt. The 0.7 Mt strike for 2027 reflects steady-state operations at running smelters; the Century-EGA Inola greenfield (Oklahoma, $4B build, ~600 kt/yr nameplate) targets first metal late 2028 and is not material to 2027.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Century Aluminum 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR) https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000949157
- Century Aluminum quarterly earnings releases https://centuryaluminum.com/
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2028.
- Comment Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 0.7 million tonnes.