Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
RégulationOne-OffChineAmérique latineMatières premièresEntreprises et affaires1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 17:45 UTC31 mai 28, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiWill Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Alcoa's 2024 Aluminum segment shipments came in at 2.5–2.6 Mt (per the Q4 2024 earnings release), with modest expansion underway at the Pinjarra refinery / smelter complex (Western Australia) and Alumar (Brazil).
- The 2.6 Mt median for 2027 reflects roughly flat operations with small Pinjarra/Alumar contribution; this strike sits at the 50/50 middle of plausible 2027 outcomes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Alcoa Corporation Q4 2027 / full-year financial release https://news.alcoa.com/press-releases
