Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2/3's majority requirement)
InflationOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.5%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète31 juil. 23, 05:42 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Prop. 13 was a 1978 California ballot proposition which, among other things, passed a constitutional amendment that capped property taxes on all property at 1% of their purchase price, with a maximum annual inflation adjustment of 2%, regardless of market price.
- This has led to property taxes varying drastically between neighboring houses; houses which have been held for the longest have the lowest property taxes.
- It also required all new taxes to pass the legislature with 2/3's majority.
- While in the past there have been attempts to pull back some parts of Prop. 13, such as a US supreme court case, and many ballot measures, none have succeeded.
- However, a growing contingent of the YIMBY movement sees Prop. 13 as entrenching NIMBY and SFH interests.
- Will Prop. 13's 2/3's majority requirement be repealed by 2030?
