Prévision communautaire actuelle
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Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
26 mars 23, 01:08 UTC1 janv. 39, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
Manifold MarketsNumber of Honey Deuces sold at the US Open
KalshiWill the average car sold in the US in 2030 be smaller than the average car sold (in the US) in 2025
Manifold MarketsWill the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
- Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions.
- (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)