Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97%
Prévisionnistes
130
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète11 oct. 24, 05:58 UTC1 janv. 35, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
[See pinned comment.
- Market Creator is gone.]
- The Millennium Prize Problems are seven legendary open questions in mathematics announced by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) in year 2000, each carrying a US $1 million reward for the first correct solution.
- Grigori Perelman’s 2003 proof of the Poincaré Conjecture settled one of them, leaving six unsolved challenges:
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
- Hodge Conjecture