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Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029?

TechOne-OffSpace2a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 51.4%

Prévisionnistes

4

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 12 heures

Obsolète

22 juil. 26, 12:36 UTC1 juin 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

Description:

Resolves YES if NASA's Artemis V mission (the planned crewed lunar landing following Artemis IV) successfully lifts off before January 1, 2029.
Resolves NO if the launch has not occurred by that date, including if the mission is cancelled, indefinitely delayed, or restructured such that "Artemis V" no longer refers to a crewed lunar landing mission.
Background: As of July 2026, NASA anticipates launching Artemis V, using the standardized configuration of the SLS rocket, by late 2028, with future missions about once per year thereafter.
However, no crew or lander has yet been assigned to the mission, and the Artemis schedule has been restructured before.
Given the program's history of schedule slips, a significant delay versus the "late 2028" target could occur.

Marchés ouverts

BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?

$78,400 or above99%
$78,300 or above99%
$78,200 or above99%

+97 résultats de plus

Volume total: 944,1 k €
Volume 24h: 721,8 k €

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?

90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
84° to 85°-8.0pt1%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total

BTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target

No73%
Yes27%

Volume total: 620 k €
Volume 24h: 536 k €

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons

Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%

Volume total: 514,9 k €
Volume 24h: 496,9 k €

Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?

New Orleans+48.0pt99%
Houston+70.0pt99%
Minneapolis+17.0pt99%

+19 résultats de plus

Volume total

Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?

80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
79° or below-3.0pt1%
82° to 83°-44.0pt1%

+3 résultats de plus

Volume total

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? doit être résolu le 1 juin 2029.
Comment Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Description:

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