Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète29 mars 26, 07:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?
KalshiHow many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketTrump out as President by September 30?
PolymarketRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if a senate democrat loses a US senate primary in 2026.
- To lose, they must appear on the ballot and lose the primary vote.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if a senate democrat loses a US senate primary in 2026.