Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 27 octobre 2026.

Quand Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if any AI model achieves a score above 95% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark by December 31, 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+28.0pt89%

+15 résultats de plus

Volume total

5,2 M €

Volume 24h

317,3 k €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.6pt21.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.5pt16.2%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.4pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.5pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.5pt48%
• 2026-1.2pt13%

+1 résultats de plus

Volume total

968,7 k €

Volume 24h

68 k €

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