Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 64.3%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 15:01 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, Anthropic officially releases or deploys an in-house, custom-designed silicon chip (developed by Anthropic's internal silicon/hardware team) to train or run its Claude AI models.
- "Release or deploy" is defined as any of the following:
- Anthropic publicly announces that it is actively using its proprietary, custom-designed chips for training or running Claude in production.
- Anthropic or its manufacturing partner officially announces the successful tape-out, shipping, or deployment of the custom silicon designed by Anthropic's in-house team.
- Exceptions & Clarifications:
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2030 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria