Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.4%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète8 juin 25, 04:09 UTC31 déc. 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Android still be a Google product in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the Linux kernel still be an actively maintained project in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be able to rewrite the Linux Kernel from scratch in Rust, mostly autonomously, by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich release of Linux kernel will have the first Rust-only driver for consumer-grade hardware ?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?
KalshiRègles
Update 2025-06-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the question should be interpreted as "will Android still primarily be a Linux OS?".
- If Google's flagship Pixel phones switch to a different kernel (e.g., Zircon), this market will resolve to NO, even if other Linux-based Android variants still exist.