Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète27 août 23, 16:23 UTC31 déc. 49, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Hillary Clinton ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Hillary Clinton say during Morning Joe?
KalshiWill Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Marjorie Taylor Greene be published before her death?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
- [image]Mugshot series: @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-george @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-anthony @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-joe-bid @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-hillary @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-nancy-p @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-mike-pe @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-alexand
- @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16,5 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt19%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volume total
- 507,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Anthony Fauci-2.0pt35%
- John Brennan+1.0pt34%
- Ilhan Omar+3.0pt18%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No70.3%
- Yes29.7%
- Volume total
- 358 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1 k €
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt8%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan+2.0pt26%
- Letitia James+8.9pt15%
- Anthony Fauci+1.0pt14%
+21 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
- Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Will an official mugshot of Hillary Clinton be published before her death? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.