Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 96.4%
Prévisionnistes
57
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard1 avr. 23, 02:28 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
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PolymarketRègles
The William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition, known as the Putnam exam, is a prestigious annual mathematics competition for undergraduate students in the United States and Canada.
- The exam consists of 12 challenging mathematical problems, with participants given 6 hours to complete the exam.
- A perfect score on the Putnam exam is rare, even among top students, and would be a significant achievement for an AI system, showcasing its advanced mathematical problem-solving capabilities.
- Will clear and strong evidence be provided that an AI is capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam under real-world conditions before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2030, clear and strong evidence is provided that an AI system is capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam, adhering to the following conditions:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition, known as the Putnam exam, is a prestigious annual mathematics competition for undergraduate students in the United States and Canada.