Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?
SportOne-OffSociety & CultureSoccer3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 74.8%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète31 mai 24, 23:07 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
It still seems like a long way away... but if you'd asked me in 2010 if I expected this to happen by 2020, I'd have been optimistic.
- Will this milestone happen in this decade?
- For this to resolve yes, the player must come out of their own accord, either in a planned statement or in a spontaneous way (but not through a leak by a third party or something like that). "Active" player means being part of the squad of a 1.
- Bundesliga team, even if the player doesn't get any minutes of playing time in that season.
- They must have played in a Bundesliga game before though.
- If there's any ambiguity about the player coming out as "homosexual / bi / queer", I'll judge this based on the general consensus in the media.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : It still seems like a long way away... but if you'd asked me in 2010 if I expected this to happen by 2020, I'd have been optimistic.