Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.6%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 05:33 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will India become the 3rd largest economy before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the share of Americans in the workforce drop below 61.5% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"
- (https://civiqs.com/results/embed?snapshotUrl=results.embeds.civiqs.com/snapshots/99defa5b-d036-4e22-b730-7dbd2358b286)If polled Americans' ratings of the economy according to Civiqs are net positive (i.e. 1% or higher) for any amount of time in 2026, this question resolves YES, otherwise this question resolves NO on 1 Jan 2027.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 51 k €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 17,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,9 k €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44 k €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Volume total
- 893,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6 k €
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Americans rate the economy positively before the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves according to polling published by Civiqs on their recurring question: "How would you rate the condition of the national economy right now?"