Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.8%
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76
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 avr. 24, 16:47 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if, by January 1st, 2030, there exists widely available technology that uses AI for the purpose of cleaning humans' anuses after defecation.
- This does not strictly have to be done by "wiping"; for example, a bidet-like technology would work, as long as it involves a technology widely agreed to be AI.
