Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79.2% au 28 octobre 2026.

Quand Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.

Comment Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if, in my judgement, that’s the reason for the award, even if those exact terms don’t appear in the official announcement.

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

JSON gratuit pour ce marché, sans clé API :

Agents IA : appelez pm_data_event sur le serveur MCP de CoinRithm :

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.6pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-2.5pt86%

+15 résultats de plus

Volume total

5,4 M €

Volume 24h

111,5 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.5pt30.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.1pt22.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt15.7%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.8pt98%
• Anthropic-5.2pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt58.8%
• Gemini-0.7pt29.9%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt96.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202793.5%

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-7.8pt23.2%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.6pt21.1%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+3.1pt21.1%

+5 résultats de plus

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?