Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.7%
Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète18 mars 22, 12:26 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?
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PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRègles
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/
- Closes Oct 12, 2025.
- Expected to resolve around Jan 1, 2030.
- Close date updated to 2029-12-31 11:59 pm
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/