Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years?

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Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 61.7% au 2 novembre 2026.

Quand Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years? doit être résolu le 22 décembre 2044.

Comment Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified a potential path to resolution:

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POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k+1.7pt99%
• ↑5.5k+2.7pt97%
• ↑6k-1.0pt87%

+13 résultats de plus

Volume total

7,4 M €

Volume 24h

63,9 k €

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.9pt98%
• Yes-0.9pt2%

Volume total

1,2 M €

Volume 24h

11,3 k €

POLYMARKET

How many US births in 2026?

• 3.56M–3.59M+9.0pt38%
• 3.53M–3.56M+5.5pt36%
• 3.59M–3.62M-3.0pt11%

+4 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No98%
• Yes2%

Volume total

16,9 M €

Volume 24h

6,1 k €

POLYMARKET

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?

• December 31,+6.0pt67%
• September37%
• June-12.5pt10%

Volume total

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

• Before Jan 1, 202989.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202884.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202855.5%

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