Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.8%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 juil. 25, 21:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026.