KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 1 20%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
6,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
14 juil. 26, 19:30 UTC1 févr. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
If Elon Musk supports the named outcome non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Election CommissionUnited States House of RepresentativesUnited States SenateNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCElon Musk’s X accountofficial campaign websites of candidatesBallotpedia
- Special elections between Jul 14, 2026 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
- Special elections between Jun 4, 2025 and election day 2026 are also included in this number.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 1 à 20% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Elon Musk supports the named outcome non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.