Will the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète22 oct. 26, 02:54 UTC2 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 56 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
- Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.
