Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?
IAOne-OffDivertissement3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard12 janv. 24, 12:55 UTC1 avr. 30, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?
Manifold MarketsWill Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsJoel Haver wins an academy award before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2030?
Manifold MarketsCritics Choice Awards: Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
KalshiCritics Choice Awards: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
KalshiRègles
I'll count movies made in 2029.
- If the film wins an Oscar in 2030 but was made the year before this will resolve to Y.
