Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 55%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 53 minutes
En retard16 août 24, 11:56 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)
Manifold MarketsWill bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia
- Privacy-preserving proof of personhood = any infrastructure that allows carbon-based Homo sapiens (and no other entities like AIs) prove they're unique individuals without revealing their identity, e.g. something like this