Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 55%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète16 août 24, 11:56 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the official Farcaster client (formerly Warpcast) permanently cease as a social media platform by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWill the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
FutuurUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia
- Privacy-preserving proof of personhood = any infrastructure that allows carbon-based Homo sapiens (and no other entities like AIs) prove they're unique individuals without revealing their identity, e.g. something like this
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia