Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69.8%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète5 août 23, 23:45 UTC2 janv. 49, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, resolve to NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2049.
- Comment Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES.