Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.2%
Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète3 sept. 24, 14:49 UTC7 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
2028 Democratic Presidential ticket
Kalshi2028 Republican Presidential ticket
KalshiWho will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWhen will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question will resolve YES if Donald Trump is on a presidential ticket, as either president or vice president, that is on the ballot in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
- For this market to resolve to YES Trump need not be on the ballot with the same person in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, he must simply appear on the ballot in 50 states and the District of Columbia.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump be on a major presidential ticket in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump be on a major presidential ticket in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump be on a major presidential ticket in 2028? doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2028.
- Comment Will Donald Trump be on a major presidential ticket in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question will resolve YES if Donald Trump is on a presidential ticket, as either president or vice president, that is on the ballot in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.