Will a major AI company publish a “responsible scaling policy” for AI consciousness by 2030?
IAOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.9%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 49 minutes
En retard4 févr. 24, 23:21 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
A responsible scaling policy (RSP) or risk-informed development policy (RDP) is a framework adopted by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI that aims to ensure that they do not release catastrophically unsafe AIs.
- Such a framework defines levels of concerning capabilities and corresponding types of safety mitigations that would be adopted, and compliance is monitored through ongoing evaluations.
- Will a major AI company adopt an “RSP for AI consciousness” by the end of 2029? This would involve:
- Defining features or indicators of consciousness to be monitored
- Outlining mitigation measures to avoid suffering or conscious AIs
- See also: Project ideas: Sentience and rights of digital minds (substack.com)
