Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 52%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète18 mai 26, 16:54 UTC18 mai 36, 16:53 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiHumanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?
Manifold MarketsMilestone events in humanoid robot development before 2030
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human does before 2035, then the market resolves to YES
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volume total
- 153,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 39,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 409,9 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a humanoid robot walk on the mars before a human does? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a humanoid robot walk on the mars before a human does? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a humanoid robot walk on the mars before a human does? doit être résolu le 18 mai 2036.
- Comment Will a humanoid robot walk on the mars before a human does? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human does before 2035, then the market resolves to YES