Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 83.5%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 52 minutes
En retard27 nov. 22, 18:09 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
KalshiWill Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]
Manifold MarketsWill Nine Inch Nails ever release another full-length studio album?
Manifold MarketsWill Portishead release a full-length studio album by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the next full-length film featuring Paul Rudd as Ant Man be better than I expect it to be?
Manifold MarketsDancing with the Stars · Episode 9 Elimination
KalshiRègles
yes this is yet another operationalization of AI timelines
- Close date updated to 2030-12-31 3:59 pm
