Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 53.9%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 24, 11:46 UTC1 mars 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if at least 200 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2028.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-5e781221ca5f
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-e510db70b0a2
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-26fcd74c767f
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-280c533c681a
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2028.
- Comment Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if at least 200 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2028.