Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?
One-OffTech3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 mars 25, 13:58 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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FutuurRègles
After extensive discussions and no consensus among Wikipedians, a 6-month moratorium on move requests for the "Twitter" article was imposed; that moratorium expires March 30, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if on December 31, 2026 at 23:59 PST (UTC-8), the English-language Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirects to the "Twitter" article.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- If Wikipedia ceases to exist by the end date, the market resolves N/A. The redirect change must remain in place for at least 14 consecutive days and not be a temporary change due to vandalism, testing, or technical errors.
- The market will resolve by January 14, 2027 at the latest, but could resolve at the end of 2026 if qualifying changes occur earlier.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : After extensive discussions and no consensus among Wikipedians, a 6-month moratorium on move requests for the "Twitter" article was imposed; that moratorium expires March 30, 2025.