Manifold MarketsSans KYCPrévision communautaire actuelleKamala Harris 3.6%En tête parmi 61 options
Prévisionnistes
479
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 jours
Obsolète18 août 23, 16:142 févr. 29, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Kamala Harris4%
Également disponible sur PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
22%
17%
16%
+10 résultats de plus
Retail prediction exchange
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
PREDICTITÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
2a
15.3%
2.7%
0.1%
+16 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire108 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total27,8 k €
Volume 24h90,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
2a
1.7%
0.6%
1.1%
+27 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire42 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total17,1 k €
Volume 24h99,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
2a
3.1%
-0.4%19.2%
0.8%
+18 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire577 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total483,9 k €
Volume 24h1,2 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2a
+0.2%3.6%
0.6%
-0.1%1.6%
+97 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire1,973 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total1,5 M €
Volume 24h1,7 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
2a
19.2%
14.8%
13%
+1 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire32 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total8,6 k €
Volume 24h80,4 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
2a
13.8%
3.8%
1.6%
+44 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire146 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total64 k €
Volume 24h89,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".