Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 02:11 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOther 26%En tête parmi 61 options
Prévisionnistes
489
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète18 août 23, 16:14 UTC2 févr. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson win the 2028 United States Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
Manifold MarketsWho will come second at the 2028 United States presidential elections? (Add Responses)
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 25%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028