Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? doit être résolu le 1 février 2029.

Comment Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question:

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POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party92%
• Republican Party8%

Volume total

21,1 M €

Volume 24h

1,9 M €

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.2pt90.3%
• Republican Party-0.1pt9.7%

Volume total

64,3 M €

Volume 24h

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+6.0pt59.2%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt26.5%
• Naftali Bennett-3.0pt12.2%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico64.5%
• Ken Paxton35.5%

Volume total

38,2 M €

Volume 24h

954,5 k €

POLYMARKET

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar+2.0pt72.3%
• Likud-2.0pt27.7%
• Otzma Yehudit0%

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