Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGavin Newsom 92.3%En tête parmi 43 options
Prévisionnistes
90
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète5 févr. 25, 04:50 UTC16 nov. 28, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiRègles
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy.
- (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
- All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed.
- Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
