Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJ D Vance 53.8%En tête parmi 14 options
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70
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète12 déc. 25, 22:30 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.
- Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
- This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
- Must get over 5% to count.
- If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
- A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.