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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
Manifold Markets

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?

One-OffPolitiqueUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
J D Vance 53.2%
En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes

69

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour hier

Obsolète
12 déc. 25, 22:3031 déc. 28, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

J D Vance53%

Règles

Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.

Manifold Markets
  • Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
  • This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
  • Must get over 5% to count.
  • If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
  • A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

Resolves Yes to whoever finishes 1st or 2nd in a Republican primary for a STATE.

Manifold Markets
  • Non states like DC, Guam and the US Virgin Islands don’t count as states.
  • This is based on who receives the most votes in the state, delegates don’t count.
  • Must get over 5% to count.
  • If someone wins 98% and a write candidate gets 0.4% in 2nd, doesn’t count.
  • A write in candidate getting 2nd with 5.1% would be enough for resolving yes.