Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGavin Newsom 71.6%En tête parmi 19 options
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète12 déc. 25, 22:34 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic candidate for president win every state that has a Democratic senator?
Manifold Markets2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
KalshiWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsSouth Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketIf this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any candidate who finishes in the top 2 (first or second place) in any single state's Democratic primary election.(by popular vote, not delegates) The 2028 presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028, with primaries occurring in the months prior.
- Resolution will be determined by official state primary results published by state election authorities and major news outlets covering the 2028 Democratic primary.
- Note: Democrats have no clear presidential primary calendar for 2028, so the specific states and timing remain to be determined by the DNC.
- Must be a STATE!
- Democrats Abroad,American Samoa, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, US Virgin Islands,