Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
SpaceX 58.9%En tête parmi 4 options
SpaceX 58.9%Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète13 oct. 26, 10:02 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves to the launch provider responsible for the last orbital launch attempt worldwide with a liftoff time in calendar year 2026 (UTC).
- Orbital launch attempt: any launch intended to reach Earth orbit or beyond, including failures.
- Suborbital flights and tests not intended to reach orbit are excluded.
- Launch provider: the company or agency operating the launch vehicle, classified by the country where it is headquartered.
- Launch site, customer and payload don’t matter.
- For example, a Rocket Lab Electron launch from New Zealand counts as “Other American provider”.
