Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleGavin Newsom 52.1%En tête parmi 53 options
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète10 oct. 22, 18:57 UTC30 nov. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to the name of the person, who becomes the 48th President of the United States, whether as the result of the 2028 elections or otherwise (ie.
- Vice President takes the chair).
- Please note, that the question asks about the 48th POTUS.
- If, for example, the named outcome wins the 2024 elections (47th President) and gets reelected, this market will resolve only after the 48th POTUS takes office. -------------------------
- Jan 6, 9:05pm: Who will become the 48th President of the USA? → Who will become the 48th (the next next) President of the USA?
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the 48th President of the USA? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Gavin Newsom à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the 48th President of the USA? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the 48th President of the USA? doit être résolu le 30 novembre 2028.
- Comment Who will be the 48th President of the USA? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the name of the person, who becomes the 48th President of the United States, whether as the result of the 2028 elections or otherwise (ie.