Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJ. D. Vance 30.6%En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
109
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 août 23, 12:25 UTC2 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRègles
Uses the standard counting system - presidents in nonconsecutive terms get two numbers.
- At the time of market creation, Joe Biden was the 46th president.
- Currently, the named outcome is the 47th president (having previously been the 45th).
- The president after Trump will therefore be the 48th.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the 48th president of the United States? ?
- Manifold Markets cote J. D. Vance à 31% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the 48th president of the United States? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the 48th president of the United States? doit être résolu le 2 novembre 2028.
- Comment Who will be the 48th president of the United States? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Uses the standard counting system - presidents in nonconsecutive terms get two numbers.