Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJavokhir Sindarov 33%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète2 oct. 23, 17:51 UTC1 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill these people ever be FIDE world chess champion? (end mid 2044)
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next person to successfully defend their title as classical World Chess Champion?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a woman World Chess Champion before 2060?
Manifold Markets2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
PolymarketFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiRègles
A few points of clarification:
- If there is any chess governing body that is widely recognized in the press as "FIDE" I will go with the champion recognized by that body.
- If there is no such body, I will go with the recognition of whatever body is widely recognized in the press as the most dominant chess body of the time.
- "most" and "widely recognized in the press" is to be supported by news articles and such, but is ultimately up to my judgement.
- If you want updates on how this is shaping up let me know and I will try to clarify.
- If there is no such individual at all, then I will resolve N/A.