KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Aleksandar Vučić 76.1%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
9 juil. 26, 20:25 UTC31 déc. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Italy?
PolymarketWhich party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiWho will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
KalshiRègles
If Aleksandar Vučić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:National Assembly
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Ana Brnabić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Miloš Vučević becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election? ?
- Kalshi cote Aleksandar Vučić à 76% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Aleksandar Vučić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.