Probabilité implicite actuelle
Giorgia Meloni 43.6%En tête parmi 11 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
6,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
11 août 26, 00:32 UTC22 déc. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
