KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 51.5%
Before Jan 1, 2028 51.5%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
31,3 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
10 oct. 26, 19:45 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Règles
If Giorgia Meloni leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Giorgia MeloniThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersGovernment of ItalyCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement that merely acknowledges the scheduled end of Giorgia Meloni's term, such as a statement that she will serve until the end of the legislature, does not count. A formal resignation after which she stays on for current affairs and is reappointed, such as after a general election or to bring about an early election, also does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Giorgia Meloni leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Giorgia Meloni leaves (or announces she will leave) as Prime Minister of Italy before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
