Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Fabiano Caruana 14.5%En tête parmi 13 options
Fabiano Caruana 14.5%Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 24, 23:36 UTC1 janv. 40, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Magnus Carlsen has been the number 1 ranked player by classical chess FIDE rating since July 2011.
- This question resolves to the first person who is not Magnus Carlsen to be rated number 1 on a FIDE monthly rating list.
- In case of unforseen circumstances (e.g. the creation of a competitor organization to FIDE), I will use a rating list that best includes all top players and all classical games.
- If you decide to add additional answers, please add only realistic people; I'll resolve troll answers to N/A. I will not bet in this market.
- Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Magnus Carlsen doesn't play any classical chess for 12 consecutive calendar months, he will be removed from the FIDE rating lists, and the market will be resolved to the top player on the list at that time.